SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Den Bosch win with a probability of 48.02%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 28.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Den Bosch win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 1-2 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Den Bosch | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
48.02% ( 0.33) | 23.49% ( -0.05) | 28.49% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 59.83% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.44% ( 0.02) | 41.55% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.04% ( 0.02) | 63.95% ( -0.02) |
| Den Bosch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.48% ( 0.14) | 17.51% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.97% ( 0.24) | 48.03% ( -0.24) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.53% ( -0.19) | 27.46% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.04% ( -0.24) | 62.95% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Den Bosch | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
| 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.87% Total : 48.02% | 1-1 @ 10.83% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.5% | 1-2 @ 7% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.91% Total : 28.49% |
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