SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 55.05%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 23.87% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.27%) and 1-0 (7%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 1-2 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong Ajax | Draw | Den Bosch |
55.05% ( -0) | 21.08% ( -0.01) | 23.87% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 63.96% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.87% ( 0.05) | 34.14% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.98% ( 0.05) | 56.02% ( -0.05) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.49% ( 0.02) | 12.51% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.48% ( 0.03) | 38.52% ( -0.03) |
| Den Bosch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.11% ( 0.03) | 26.9% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.79% ( 0.05) | 62.22% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong Ajax | Draw | Den Bosch |
| 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 7% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.61% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.04% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.34% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.44% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.62% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.26% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.43% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.09% ( 0)4-3 @ 0.99% ( 0)5-2 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 55.05% | 1-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.9% ( 0)Other @ 0.36% Total : 21.08% | 1-2 @ 6.03% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.42% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.9% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.27% 2-4 @ 0.9% ( 0)Other @ 2.96% Total : 23.87% |
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