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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 49.15%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 28.8% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.6%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 2-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong Ajax | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
28.8% ( -0.09) | 22.05% ( 0.06) | 49.15% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 65.36% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.62% ( -0.38) | 34.37% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.71% ( -0.42) | 56.29% ( 0.42) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.39% ( -0.25) | 23.61% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.31% ( -0.36) | 57.69% ( 0.36) |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.57% ( -0.13) | 14.43% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.63% ( -0.25) | 42.36% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong Ajax | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 2-1 @ 6.87% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.71% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.9% Total : 28.8% | 1-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.05% | 1-2 @ 9.22% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.6% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 5.95% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 4.29% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 4.12% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.88% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 2.08% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.99% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.54% Total : 49.15% |
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