SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 45.13%. A win for Roda JC had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.05%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Roda JC win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong Ajax | Draw | Roda JC |
45.13% ( -0.01) | 23.04% ( -0.01) | 31.83% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 63.57% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.48% ( 0.08) | 37.53% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.25% ( 0.08) | 59.76% ( -0.08) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.93% ( 0.03) | 17.07% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.76% ( 0.05) | 47.25% ( -0.04) |
| Roda JC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.65% ( 0.05) | 23.35% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.68% ( 0.08) | 57.32% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong Ajax | Draw | Roda JC |
| 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.34% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.67% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.36% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.72% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.62% ( -0)Other @ 4.2% Total : 45.13% | 1-1 @ 10.25% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.59% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.04% | 1-2 @ 7.45% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.8% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.22% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 3.03% Total : 31.83% |
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