Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Den Bosch win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Den Bosch win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 2-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Helmond Sport	Draw	Den Bosch
34.87% ( 0.29)	24.54% ( 0.07)	40.58% ( -0.36)

Both teams to score 59.14% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.24% (

-0.28)

43.75% (

0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.85% (

-0.27)

66.14% (

0.27)

Helmond Sport Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.43% (

0.03)

24.56% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.95% (

0.05)

59.04% (

-0.05)

Den Bosch Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.4% (

-0.29)

21.6% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.3% (

-0.45)

54.69% (

0.44)

Score Analysis

Helmond Sport 34.87%

Den Bosch 40.58%

Draw 24.54%

Helmond Sport	Draw	Den Bosch
2-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.79% Total : 34.87%	1-1 @ 11.41% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.54%	1-2 @ 8.75% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.47% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.71% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.55% Total : 40.58%