SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 43.49%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.11%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VVV-Venlo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Den Bosch | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
33.18% ( 0.49) | 23.33% ( -0.27) | 43.49% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 63.1% ( 1.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.62% ( 1.49) | 38.38% ( -1.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.33% ( 1.56) | 60.66% ( -1.56) |
| Den Bosch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.01% ( 0.99) | 22.99% ( -0.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.21% ( 1.44) | 56.79% ( -1.44) |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.94% ( 0.51) | 18.06% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.03% ( 0.86) | 48.97% ( -0.87) |
| Score Analysis |
| Den Bosch | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
| 2-1 @ 7.68% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.26)2-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.16)3-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.09)Other @ 3.16% Total : 33.18% | 1-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 6.57% ( 0.14)0-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.3)3-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.32% | 1-2 @ 8.94% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.39)0-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.23)1-3 @ 5.1% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.14)0-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 2.18% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.78% Total : 43.49% |
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