Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 45.56%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 0-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.
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