SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 47.92%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong AZ | Draw | Jong PSV |
47.92% ( -0.24) | 23.38% ( -0.03) | 28.69% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 60.38% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.1% ( 0.32) | 40.89% ( -0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.71% ( 0.32) | 63.28% ( -0.32) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.7% ( 0.03) | 17.3% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.35% ( 0.05) | 47.65% ( -0.05) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.01% ( 0.35) | 26.99% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.66% ( 0.45) | 62.34% ( -0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong AZ | Draw | Jong PSV |
| 2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.41% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.98% Total : 47.92% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.38% | 1-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.12% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.03% Total : 28.69% |
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