Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong PSV win with a probability of 45.76%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong PSV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.75%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Jong PSV | Draw | Almere City |
45.76% ( -0.21) | 23.47% ( 0.04) | 30.76% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 61.44% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.92% ( -0.08) | 40.07% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.55% ( -0.08) | 62.44% ( 0.08) |
Jong PSV Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.17% ( -0.12) | 17.82% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.44% ( -0.2) | 48.55% ( 0.2) |
Almere City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.76% ( 0.07) | 25.23% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.02% ( 0.1) | 59.97% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Jong PSV | Draw | Almere City |
2-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.75% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.81% Total : 45.76% | 1-1 @ 10.67% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.46% | 1-2 @ 7.35% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.19% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 30.76% |
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