SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a TOP Oss win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 33.24% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a TOP Oss win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that TOP Oss would win this match.
| Result | ||
| TOP Oss | Draw | Jong PSV |
41.8% ( 0.72) | 24.97% ( -0.01) | 33.24% ( -0.72) |
| Both teams to score 57.21% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.92% ( -0.16) | 46.08% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.62% ( -0.15) | 68.39% ( 0.15) |
| TOP Oss Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.98% ( 0.28) | 22.02% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.66% ( 0.42) | 55.34% ( -0.42) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.37% ( -0.51) | 26.63% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.14% ( -0.67) | 61.87% ( 0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| TOP Oss | Draw | Jong PSV |
| 2-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.4% Total : 41.8% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.97% | 1-2 @ 7.77% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.16% Total : 33.24% |
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