Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 56.12%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 23.27% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.12%) and 1-3 (6.78%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 2-1 (5.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Jong PSV	Draw	PEC Zwolle
23.27% ( 0.13)	20.61% ( 0.01)	56.12% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 64.96% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.5% (

0.09)

32.5% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.85% (

0.1)

54.14% (

-0.1)

Jong PSV Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.55% (

0.15)

26.44% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.38% (

0.2)

61.62% (

-0.19)

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.32% (

-0.01)

11.68% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.24% (

-0.02)

36.75% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Jong PSV 23.27%

PEC Zwolle 56.12%

Draw 20.61%

Jong PSV	Draw	PEC Zwolle
2-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 4.11% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.03% Total : 23.27%	1-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 2% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.4% Total : 20.61%	1-2 @ 9.47% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.12% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 6.78% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 5.1% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 4.51% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 3.64% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.74% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 2.42% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) 2-5 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.86% Total : 56.12%