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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 52.97%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 23.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.44%) and 0-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 2-1 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almere City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dordrecht | Draw | Almere City |
23.97% ( 0.01) | 23.06% ( 0.11) | 52.97% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 56.98% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.63% ( -0.5) | 43.37% ( 0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.23% ( -0.49) | 65.77% ( 0.5) |
| Dordrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.13% ( -0.26) | 31.87% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.68% ( -0.3) | 68.31% ( 0.3) |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.63% ( -0.22) | 16.37% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.01% ( -0.41) | 45.99% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dordrecht | Draw | Almere City |
| 2-1 @ 6.17% 1-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.3% ( 0)Other @ 2.64% Total : 23.97% | 1-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.06% | 1-2 @ 9.77% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 8.54% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 5.89% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 5.15% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 2.67% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 2.33% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.31% Total : 52.97% |
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