Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 76.31%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Dordrecht had a probability of 8.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.55%) and 1-0 (10.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.23%), while for a Dordrecht win it was 0-1 (2.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.
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