SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 50.94%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 2-1 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for VVV-Venlo in this match.
| Result | ||
| Dordrecht | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
26.43% ( -0.34) | 22.62% ( -0.33) | 50.94% ( 0.68) |
| Both teams to score 61.16% ( 0.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.97% ( 1.29) | 39.02% ( -1.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.65% ( 1.34) | 61.35% ( -1.34) |
| Dordrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.39% ( 0.43) | 27.61% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.85% ( 0.55) | 63.14% ( -0.55) |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.49% ( 0.71) | 15.51% ( -0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.59% ( 1.3) | 44.41% ( -1.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dordrecht | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
| 2-1 @ 6.61% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.27)2-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 2.84% 3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.85% Total : 26.43% | 1-1 @ 10.27% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.26)3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.62% | 1-2 @ 9.57% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.29)0-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 5.95% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 4.62% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 3.83% ( 0.14)1-4 @ 2.77% ( 0.13)0-4 @ 2.15% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.11)1-5 @ 1.03% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.82% Total : 50.94% |
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