SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 45.39%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 30.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Almere City | Draw | Jong PSV |
45.39% ( 1.43) | 24.49% ( -0.4) | 30.12% ( -1.03) |
| Both teams to score 57.48% ( 0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.87% ( 1.33) | 45.13% ( -1.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.52% ( 1.26) | 67.47% ( -1.26) |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80% ( 1.18) | 19.99% ( -1.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.82% ( 1.87) | 52.18% ( -1.86) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.84% ( -0.03) | 28.16% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.16% ( -0.03) | 63.84% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Almere City | Draw | Jong PSV |
| 2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 9.06% ( -0.18)2-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 4.96% ( 0.25)3-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.2)3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.16)4-1 @ 2% ( 0.17)4-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.13)4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.94% Total : 45.39% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.33)3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.48% | 1-2 @ 7.28% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 7.14% ( -0.42)0-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.27)1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.75% Total : 30.12% |
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