Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 47.26%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 29.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.01%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
0) 
-0) 
