Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 58.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Dordrecht had a probability of 18.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Dordrecht win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.
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