SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 61.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 17.11%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 0-1 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Almere City | Draw | Helmond Sport |
61.24% ( -0.71) | 21.65% ( 0.39) | 17.11% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 50.78% ( -0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.66% ( -1.12) | 46.34% ( 1.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.37% ( -1.07) | 68.63% ( 1.07) |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.37% ( -0.58) | 14.63% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.25% ( -1.14) | 42.75% ( 1.14) |
| Helmond Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.48% ( -0.28) | 40.52% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.88% ( -0.25) | 77.12% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Almere City | Draw | Helmond Sport |
| 1-0 @ 11.39% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 10.95% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 6.34% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.53% Total : 61.23% | 1-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.28)2-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.96% Total : 21.65% | 0-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.4% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.94% Total : 17.11% |
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