SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 71.01%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Dordrecht had a probability of 11.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a Dordrecht win it was 0-1 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roda JC | Draw | Dordrecht |
71.01% ( -0.03) | 17.35% ( 0.02) | 11.64% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.92% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.23% ( -0.04) | 38.76% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.92% ( -0.04) | 61.07% ( 0.04) |
| Roda JC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.3% ( -0.02) | 9.7% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.67% ( -0.04) | 32.33% ( 0.04) |
| Dordrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.39% ( 0.01) | 43.61% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.2% ( 0) | 79.8% |
| Score Analysis |
| Roda JC | Draw | Dordrecht |
| 2-0 @ 11.51% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0)3-0 @ 8.95% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.43% ( -0)4-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.02% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0)6-0 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 3.85% Total : 71.01% | 1-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.23% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.96% ( 0)Other @ 0.96% Total : 17.35% | 0-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.4% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.46% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.1% ( 0)1-3 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 1.24% Total : 11.64% |
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