SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 48.36%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 26.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (8.63%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-0 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong FC Utrecht | Draw | Cambuur |
26.41% ( 0.14) | 25.23% ( 0.02) | 48.36% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 52.4% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.43% ( 0.03) | 50.57% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.51% ( 0.02) | 72.48% ( -0.02) |
| Jong FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.28% ( 0.13) | 33.72% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.62% ( 0.14) | 70.38% ( -0.14) |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.07% ( -0.06) | 20.93% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.33% ( -0.09) | 53.66% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong FC Utrecht | Draw | Cambuur |
| 1-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.32% Total : 26.41% | 1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 11.03% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.38% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.63% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.89% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.5% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 2.54% Total : 48.35% |
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