SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 59.88%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Jong PSV had a probability of 19.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 1-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Jong PSV win it was 1-2 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cambuur | Draw | Jong PSV |
59.88% ( -0.06) | 20.75% ( 0.03) | 19.36% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 58.23% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.41% ( -0.09) | 38.58% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.11% ( -0.1) | 60.88% ( 0.09) |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.44% ( -0.05) | 12.55% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.39% ( -0.09) | 38.6% ( 0.09) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.58% ( -0.03) | 33.41% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.96% ( -0.03) | 70.03% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cambuur | Draw | Jong PSV |
| 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.25% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.55% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.84% Total : 59.88% | 1-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 20.75% | 1-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.91% ( 0)0-3 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.2% Total : 19.36% |
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