SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dordrecht win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dordrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dordrecht | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
39.84% ( -0.42) | 24.86% ( 0.1) | 35.29% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 58.07% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.82% ( -0.41) | 45.18% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.48% ( -0.39) | 67.52% ( 0.39) |
| Dordrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.42% ( -0.39) | 22.58% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.82% ( -0.58) | 56.18% ( 0.57) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.01% ( -0.01) | 24.99% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.35% ( -0.01) | 59.64% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dordrecht | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
| 2-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.3% Total : 39.84% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.86% | 1-2 @ 8.07% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.7% Total : 35.29% |
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