SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 63.75%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Dordrecht had a probability of 15.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.52%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Dordrecht win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Emmen | Draw | Dordrecht |
63.75% ( 0.24) | 20.87% ( -0.11) | 15.38% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 49.49% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.89% ( 0.24) | 46.1% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.6% ( 0.22) | 68.4% ( -0.22) |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.22% ( 0.14) | 13.78% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.91% ( 0.29) | 41.09% ( -0.29) |
| Dordrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.4% ( -0.02) | 42.6% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.05% ( -0.02) | 78.95% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Emmen | Draw | Dordrecht |
| 1-0 @ 11.63% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 11.52% 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.72% Total : 63.74% | 1-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0)Other @ 0.88% Total : 20.87% | 0-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 1.59% Total : 15.38% |
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