SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dordrecht win with a probability of 51.15%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 27.26% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dordrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.5%) and 1-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-2 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dordrecht | Draw | Jong PSV |
51.15% ( -0.86) | 21.58% ( 0.29) | 27.26% ( 0.57) |
| Both teams to score 65.81% ( -0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.73% ( -0.97) | 33.26% ( 0.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.97% ( -1.12) | 55.02% ( 1.12) |
| Dordrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.61% ( -0.6) | 13.39% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.69% ( -1.23) | 40.31% ( 1.22) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.98% ( -0.14) | 24.02% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.72% ( -0.2) | 58.27% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dordrecht | Draw | Jong PSV |
| 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.14)4-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.09)5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.08)4-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.05)Other @ 4.04% Total : 51.15% | 1-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.42% Total : 21.58% | 1-2 @ 6.58% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 4.59% ( 0.21)0-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.77% Total : 27.26% |
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