SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong PSV win with a probability of 44.39%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong PSV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.73%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong PSV | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
44.39% ( 0.03) | 23.67% ( 0) | 31.93% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 61.3% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.47% ( -0.04) | 40.52% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.1% ( -0.04) | 62.9% ( 0.04) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.44% ( -0) | 18.55% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.19% ( -0.01) | 49.81% ( 0.01) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.26% ( -0.04) | 24.73% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.71% ( -0.06) | 59.29% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong PSV | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
| 2-1 @ 9.1% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.11% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.15% 4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0)Other @ 3.53% Total : 44.39% | 1-1 @ 10.79% 2-2 @ 6.35% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.66% | 1-2 @ 7.54% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.41% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.48% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 2.69% Total : 31.93% |
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