Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 66.56%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Dordrecht had a probability of 14.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 1-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.64%), while for a Dordrecht win it was 1-2 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Telstar would win this match.
