SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dordrecht win with a probability of 40.91%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dordrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.71%) and 2-0 (5.59%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dordrecht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dordrecht | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
40.91% ( -0.41) | 23.33% ( 0.04) | 35.76% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 63.84% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.29% ( -0.15) | 37.71% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.04% ( -0.16) | 59.95% ( 0.16) |
| Dordrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.12% ( -0.24) | 18.88% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.65% ( -0.4) | 50.35% ( 0.41) |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.69% ( 0.12) | 21.3% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.75% ( 0.18) | 54.24% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dordrecht | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
| 2-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.71% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.51% Total : 40.91% | 1-1 @ 10.36% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.32% | 1-2 @ 8.02% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 4.13% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.78% Total : 35.76% |
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