SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Telstar win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MVV Maastricht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | Telstar |
41.59% ( -0.03) | 24.9% ( -0) | 33.51% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 57.55% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.31% ( 0.02) | 45.68% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.99% ( 0.03) | 68% ( -0.03) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.05% ( -0) | 21.95% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.77% | 55.23% ( -0) |
| Telstar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.73% ( 0.03) | 26.27% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.61% ( 0.04) | 61.38% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | Telstar |
| 2-1 @ 8.86% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.48% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.35% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.42% Total : 41.59% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.89% | 1-2 @ 7.81% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.71% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.15% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.48% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.3% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 3.27% Total : 33.51% |
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