SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 69.19%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Dordrecht had a probability of 13.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 1-0 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.95%), while for a Dordrecht win it was 1-2 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roda JC | Draw | Dordrecht |
69.19% ( -0.12) | 17.4% ( 0.05) | 13.41% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 56.57% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.71% ( -0.11) | 34.29% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.81% ( -0.12) | 56.19% ( 0.13) |
| Roda JC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.04% ( -0.05) | 8.96% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.43% ( -0.13) | 30.57% ( 0.14) |
| Dordrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.13% ( 0.02) | 37.87% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.36% ( 0.02) | 74.64% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Roda JC | Draw | Dordrecht |
| 2-0 @ 9.87% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.74% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.98% Total : 69.19% | 1-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.2% Total : 17.4% | 1-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.9% Total : 13.41% |
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