Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 54.97%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 24.3% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.82%) and 3-1 (6.68%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 1-2 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Jong Ajax	Draw	Dordrecht
54.97% ( -0.25)	20.72% ( 0.13)	24.3% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 65.87% (

-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.12% (

-0.53)

31.88% (

0.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.57% (

-0.63)

53.43% (

0.63)

Jong Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.21% (

-0.24)

11.79% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63% (

-0.52)

37% (

0.52)

Dordrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.67% (

-0.21)

25.33% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.89% (

-0.29)

60.11% (

0.29)

Score Analysis

Jong Ajax 54.97%

Dordrecht 24.3%

Draw 20.72%

Jong Ajax	Draw	Dordrecht
2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 6.68% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 4.86% 3-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.6% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.04) 4-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.84% Total : 54.97%	1-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.43% Total : 20.72%	1-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.76% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.41% Total : 24.3%