SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 52.73%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 25.05% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Telstar win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong Ajax | Draw | Telstar |
52.73% ( -1.52) | 22.22% ( 0.63) | 25.05% ( 0.89) |
| Both teams to score 61.19% ( -1.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.63% ( -2.08) | 38.37% ( 2.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.35% ( -2.24) | 60.66% ( 2.24) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.33% ( -1.2) | 14.67% ( 1.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.17% ( -2.35) | 42.83% ( 2.35) |
| Telstar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.71% ( -0.44) | 28.29% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.99% ( -0.56) | 64.01% ( 0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong Ajax | Draw | Telstar |
| 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.44)2-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.26)3-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.22)4-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.26)4-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.18)4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.19)5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.16)5-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.28% Total : 52.73% | 1-1 @ 10.05% ( 0.44) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.4)3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.21% | 1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.21) 0-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.44)0-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.09)Other @ 3.52% Total : 25.05% |
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