SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 49.01%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.02%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | Dordrecht |
49.01% ( -0.04) | 21.51% ( 0.01) | 29.48% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 67.92% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.76% ( -0.03) | 31.24% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.33% ( -0.04) | 52.67% ( 0.04) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.66% ( -0.02) | 13.34% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.79% ( -0.05) | 40.21% ( 0.05) |
| Dordrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.38% ( -0) | 21.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.27% ( -0) | 54.73% |
| Score Analysis |
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | Dordrecht |
| 2-1 @ 8.96% 3-1 @ 6.02% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.85% 1-0 @ 5.81% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.61% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.93% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.03% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.32% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.98% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.22% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.19% ( -0)5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 3.16% Total : 49.01% | 1-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.86% 0-0 @ 2.88% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.35% ( -0)Other @ 0.52% Total : 21.51% | 1-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.42% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.5% 1-3 @ 3.48% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.73% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.34% 1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0)3-4 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 2.58% Total : 29.48% |
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