SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 50.05%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 27.66% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.19%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Emmen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Emmen | Draw | Cambuur |
50.05% ( -0.09) | 22.29% ( 0.02) | 27.66% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 63.52% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.59% ( -0.04) | 36.4% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.46% ( -0.04) | 58.53% ( 0.04) |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.13% ( -0.05) | 14.86% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.8% ( -0.09) | 43.19% ( 0.08) |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.61% ( 0.02) | 25.38% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.81% ( 0.03) | 60.18% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Emmen | Draw | Cambuur |
| 2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.19% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.09% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.22% Total : 50.05% | 1-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.87% ( -0)Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.29% | 1-2 @ 6.76% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.17% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.95% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.46% Total : 27.66% |
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