SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 51.91%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 25.14% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Emmen | Draw | NAC Breda |
51.91% ( -0.36) | 22.95% ( 0.23) | 25.14% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 58.7% ( -0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.3% ( -0.91) | 41.7% ( 0.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.9% ( -0.93) | 64.1% ( 0.94) |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.86% ( -0.45) | 16.14% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.43% ( -0.84) | 45.57% ( 0.84) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.99% ( -0.39) | 30.01% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.87% ( -0.47) | 66.13% ( 0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Emmen | Draw | NAC Breda |
| 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.83% ( 0.23)2-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 5.9% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.46% Total : 51.91% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.2)3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.95% | 1-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.09% Total : 25.14% |
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