SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 57.55%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 22.52% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.99%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 1-2 (5.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Willem II | Draw | Cambuur |
57.55% ( 1.28) | 19.93% ( -0.25) | 22.52% ( -1.03) |
| Both teams to score 66.55% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.96% ( -0.04) | 30.04% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.76% ( -0.05) | 51.24% ( 0.05) |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.48% ( 0.31) | 10.52% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.79% ( 0.71) | 34.21% ( -0.7) |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.37% ( -0.8) | 25.63% ( 0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.48% ( -1.11) | 60.52% ( 1.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Willem II | Draw | Cambuur |
| 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.19)1-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.21)3-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.16)4-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.08)5-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.09)4-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.47% Total : 57.55% | 1-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.47% Total : 19.93% | 1-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.19% Total : 22.52% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
