SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 76.56%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 9.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.06%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.3%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (2.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cambuur | Draw | Jong FC Utrecht |
76.56% ( 0.35) | 14.04% ( -0.13) | 9.41% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 55.58% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.11% ( -0.1) | 28.89% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.15% ( -0.13) | 49.84% ( 0.13) |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.81% ( 0.04) | 6.19% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.58% ( 0.11) | 23.42% ( -0.11) |
| Jong FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.24% ( -0.5) | 40.76% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.66% ( -0.46) | 77.34% ( 0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cambuur | Draw | Jong FC Utrecht |
| 2-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.12)2-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 5.65% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.03)6-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.03)6-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.54% Total : 76.56% | 1-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.19% Total : 14.04% | 1-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.12% Total : 9.41% |
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