SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 51.29%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 26.49% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambuur would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cambuur | Draw | Vitesse |
51.29% ( -0) | 22.22% ( -0.03) | 26.49% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 62.67% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.94% ( 0.18) | 37.07% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.74% ( 0.19) | 59.26% ( -0.19) |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.32% ( 0.07) | 14.69% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.14% ( 0.12) | 42.86% ( -0.11) |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.46% ( 0.12) | 26.54% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.25% ( 0.16) | 61.75% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cambuur | Draw | Vitesse |
| 2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.2% 4-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.26% Total : 51.29% | 1-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.22% | 1-2 @ 6.58% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.17% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.2% Total : 26.49% |
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