Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 58.62%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Emmen had a probability of 20.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.87%) and 1-0 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a Emmen win it was 1-2 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.
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