SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.83%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 1-2 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NAC Breda | Draw | Cambuur |
43.25% ( -1.66) | 23.14% ( 0.31) | 33.61% ( 1.34) |
| Both teams to score 63.96% ( -0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.68% ( -1.03) | 37.31% ( 1.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.47% ( -1.12) | 59.53% ( 1.11) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.27% ( -1.07) | 17.73% ( 1.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.6% ( -1.87) | 48.4% ( 1.87) |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.74% ( 0.26) | 22.25% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.31% ( 0.38) | 55.69% ( -0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| NAC Breda | Draw | Cambuur |
| 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.25)3-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.19)4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.14)Other @ 3.94% Total : 43.25% | 1-1 @ 10.25% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.13% | 1-2 @ 7.71% ( 0.23) 0-1 @ 5.93% ( 0.33)0-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.28)1-3 @ 3.86% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.16)1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.38% Total : 33.61% |
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