Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 67.33%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 13.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 1-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.81%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.
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