SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong FC Utrecht win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong FC Utrecht | Draw | Jong AZ |
39.93% ( 0.22) | 25.05% ( -0.02) | 35.01% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 57.36% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.92% ( 0.05) | 46.08% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.62% ( 0.05) | 68.38% ( -0.04) |
| Jong FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.07% ( 0.14) | 22.93% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.3% ( 0.2) | 56.69% ( -0.19) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.43% ( -0.09) | 25.57% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.55% ( -0.13) | 60.44% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong FC Utrecht | Draw | Jong AZ |
| 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.26% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.2% Total : 39.93% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.05% | 1-2 @ 8.03% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.56% Total : 35.01% |
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