SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong FC Utrecht win with a probability of 44.36%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.38%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong FC Utrecht | Draw | Jong Ajax |
44.36% ( -2.45) | 22.64% ( 0.26) | 32.99% ( 2.18) |
| Both teams to score 65.61% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.93% ( -0.27) | 35.06% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.94% ( -0.31) | 57.05% ( 0.29) |
| Jong FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.6% ( -1.01) | 16.39% ( 1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.96% ( -1.85) | 46.03% ( 1.84) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.47% ( 1.09) | 21.52% ( -1.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.41% ( 1.65) | 54.58% ( -1.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong FC Utrecht | Draw | Jong Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.2) 1-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.33)3-1 @ 5.34% ( -0.31)3-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.33)4-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.23)4-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.21)4-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.64% Total : 44.36% | 1-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.64% | 1-2 @ 7.53% ( 0.33) 0-1 @ 5.42% ( 0.24)0-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.32)1-3 @ 3.85% ( 0.29)2-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.23)1-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.16)2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.59% Total : 32.99% |
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