Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 62.96%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 18.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.63%) and 3-1 (7.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.88%), while for a FC Eindhoven win it was 1-2 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.
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