Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 45.02%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 29.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Eindhoven would win this match.
