SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.49%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong Ajax | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
43.74% ( 0.13) | 23.59% ( 0) | 32.67% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 61.93% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.17% ( -0.08) | 39.83% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.81% ( -0.08) | 62.19% ( 0.08) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.45% ( 0.02) | 18.55% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.2% ( 0.04) | 49.79% ( -0.04) |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.03% ( -0.11) | 23.97% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.79% ( -0.16) | 58.2% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong Ajax | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
| 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.06% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.62% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.52% 4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.55% Total : 43.74% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.58% | 1-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.35% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.89% Total : 32.67% |
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