Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for De Graafschap had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.11%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest De Graafschap win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Volendam would win this match.
