Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 71.63%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 11.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 1-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.88%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 1-2 (3.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.
