Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 81.12%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 6.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.67%) and 1-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 0-1 (2.2%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.
