Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 79.54%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 7.29%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.71%) and 1-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.19%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 0-1 (2.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that ADO Den Haag would win this match.
