Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Helmond Sport win with a probability of 49.69%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Helmond Sport win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 0-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
